#Eur/Usd Tagesausblick 22.10.2020 fürOANDA:EURUSD von ...

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submitted by GiuliettaShop to Popify [link] [comments]

Recession Imminent

Introducing the newest brand of full-blown autism™, I present to you the California / Europe ultimate bear portfolio! Based on a special blend of my extra chromosomes and a spicy mix of hate for California, this portfolio will blow average market returns out of the water based on the following assumptions (Cetaris Paribus):
  1. The world will enter a large economic recession within the next 12 months.
  2. Many Currency values will fall relative to others, however the Euro will be hit among the hardest.
  3. As unprofitable companies no longer have access to liquid credit or financing they will have to restructure their debt in some form.
  4. The highest density of unprofitable companies will continue to exist in California, and local California municipalities will not plan accordingly for a recession.
  5. European markets in general will fall quicker and with more momentum than US equity markets.
Feedback and thoughts requested please.

Symbol & Exchange Description Instrument Position Strategy Allocation (%)
CHF/EUR FOREX ICE Swiss Frank vs Euro Currency Pair Currency Pair Long 10
6EH2021 CME Euro Futures March 2021 Futures Contract Short 10
FXE NYSEARCA Invesco Currency Shares Euro Currency ETF ETF 15JAN 2021 $98 Strike Put Contract Long 10
GBP/EUR FOREX ICE Pound Sterling vs Euro Currency Pair Currency Pair Long 15
USD/EUR FOREX ICE U.S. Dollar vs Euro Currency Pair Currency Pair Long 5
CMF NYSEARCA California Municipal Bond ETF ETF Short 5
PZA NYSEARCA Invesco Nation AMT-Free Muni Bond ETF ETF Short 5
AUD/USD FOREX OANDA Australian Dollar vs U.S. Dollar Currency Pair Currency Pair Long 5
EZU BATS iShares MSCI Eurozone ETF ETF 15MAY2020 $37 Strike Put Contract Long 15
GDX NYSEARCA VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF ETF 15JAN2021 $35 Strike Call Contract Long 20
Edit: Typo, wrote put instead of call for GDX. Shame tables don't copy over from word / excel and you have to retype yourself.
submitted by chaney3 to wallstreetbets [link] [comments]

EURUSD fundamental analysis 2/13/18

So I pulled up the data from January 2017 on both Euro and USD. I think everyone can agree that was when you wanted to go long EURUSD. Here's what I found on each of the categories that I've been told are important to fundamental analysis:
Here's where we stand today:
As I've noted before the big thing that stood out in the Jan 17 assessment is that negative trade balance on the US side. I still maintain that $48B/mo in negative cash flows (now $79B!) just from running the economy has to dwarf any contribution from Forex speculators, but maybe I'm wrong. Yes, trillions of dollars move through Forex and derivatives, but these are Euros being bought with no stop loss or take profit, and minimal concern for order entry position. We would have to go all the way back to May of 2014 to see conditions that greatly favored the US.
Comparing this year to last, Euro is down 28% on its inflation but up 9.4% on unemployment and 1.2% on government debt. The trade balance has swung $24.7B in favor of the Euro. GDP growth rate and interest rate has not changed.
On the other hand, the USD had doubled its interest rate while losing 16% of its inflation. GDP has more than doubled and unemployment has improved 14.6%. The massive trade deficit has worsened 9% to -$53B. Government debt improved last year 0.38% but I expect that number to worsen once Trump's tax plan is on the books.
Tomorrow's inflation data is projected to show 1.9% which would be even worse at -24%.
So going category by category:
I'm not seeing inflation to justify interest rate increases on the USD side. If you want to buy bonds I think now is the time to do so. You can resell them later once the US announces it is backing off from interest rate increases. The Trump tax plan did prop up the stock market momentarily, but it also incurs debt that's going to hurt the US if it wants to continue raising interest rates.
The US cannot fix its trade balance. The new tax plan really only helps plutocrats. I don't think giving more money to the average citizen would help either since the average citizen would just spend more on foreign goods. The only thing I can think of is some sort of redistribution of wealth, with a focus on helping small businesses. At any rate, I'm not a politician just a speculative spectator.
Other than long EURUSD, JPY, ZAR, and CNH all look strong with high trade balances to counteract the USD. ZAR and CNH have higher interest rates, though Oanda doesn't pay interest on the CNH trade. NZD looks more risky but it might be worth a play as well. There isn't as much pressure for them to drive their currency down like there is for JPY and CNH. I like ZAR mostly as a hedge against the negative carry trade from being long the other currencies, but it should improve in value as well.
submitted by Radrezzz to Forex [link] [comments]

Exploiting forex arbitrage opportunities using cryptocurrency?

Hi all, I had an interesting thought this morning and would like to get some feedback on the idea.
Say I bought 1 unit of some crypto at a price of USD$100 and then saw that the Euro price was EUR€85. This would represent a EUUSD exchange rate of 1.1764, while the actual exchange rate (at the time of this post) is 1.1811; from what I understand, this is a fairly sizable spread in forex. If I then went from crypto to EUR, I would have effectively bought into EUR at this lower exchange rate and made some money on arbitrage.
My plan ATM is to create a package in python that would scan through a list of crypto exchanges, returning a list of the most favorable exchange rates for USD/X (X could be GBP, JPY, EUR, whatever). It would also be connected to Oanda, comparing these currency pairs to determine if there is an arbitrage opportunity. If so, a USD -> Crypto -> X trade would be executed on the crypto exchange, then an X -> USD trade would be executed on Oanda
Is there something I'm missing here? Part of me thinks that adding the extra element of forex is just overcomplicating things, so I wanted to get some feedback from you all. I also realize that transaction fees would cut into my profits, but large trades could deal with that issue somewhat.
Thanks in advance for the help!
submitted by Kerr809 to algotrading [link] [comments]

A couple of noob questions

I've started learning about ForEx about a week ago. Fundamentally, it makes sense, but I do have some questions regarding the practical side of things.
  1. Suppose I've traded x USD for 100 EUR through Oanda. Do I now possess y EUR? As in, can I tell Oanda that I want 100 actual euros wired to my bank account? If this is the case, can Or is my ownership of the 100 EUR an abstraction?
  2. Suppose the JPY is doing really well relative to EUR. I only have USD. Suppose the USD is tanking hard, relative to EUR but somewhat stable to JPY. I can trade USD for JPY, trade JPY for EUR, and then trade EUR for USD and make a gain in capital, granted the spreads work out. Is this correct or am I totally missing something?
  3. Certain currencies are only traded in relation to one other currency on the ForEx (USD/RUB, for example). Is that right, or is there a way that I could trade RUB directly for EUR, for example?
  4. Suppose I end up with a good amount of JPY, but the Yen begins to have a net fall for a week relative to all major currencies. Is it possible to take the Yen I have and use it to trade stock on the TYO until the currency begins to increase in value?
Thanks in advance! As I said, I'm very new to ForEx and I'd want to be crystal clear on the basics before I start to work on a demo account - I'm not even considering using live money at this point.
submitted by 6061 to Forex [link] [comments]

EUR/USD Technical Analysis for May 8, 2020 by FXEmpire Major market outlook: Brent oil, EUR/USD & USD/JPY - Oanda More downside potential in the EUR/USD - Oanda EUR/USD and GBP/USD Forecast January 23, 2020 Plenty of juice left in the EUR / USD rally - Oanda Live Forex Trading - EURUSD, AUDUSD, GBPUSD, NZDUSD, USDCAD, USDCHF, USDJPY

OANDA:EURUSD Euro / U.S. Dollar. Trend Analysis Chart Patterns Wave Analysis EUR USD EURUSD euro dollar Forex signals waves thunderpips. 1304 views. 47. 12. trendanalysis chartpattern waveanalysis eur usd eurusd euro dollar forex signals waves thunderpips. Hi there. Price is forming a reversal pattern to change its direction. Watch strong price action at the current levels for sell ... As a global leader in corporate FX solutions, OANDA provide the gold standard in 100 USD to EUR foreign exchange data via the 100 US Dollar to Euro exchange rates API and Historical Currency Converter. The 100 US Dollar to Euro exchange rates API is trusted by thousands of global companies and delivers data automatically on 200+ currencies with access to 25 central bank exchange rates. Daily ... EUR/USD auf einen Blick Euro (Währungscode: EUR) Zentralbank: Europäische Zentralbank; Der Euro wird von über 320 Millionen Europäern und 17 Nationen in der Eurozone (Eurozone) verwendet. Weitere 175 Millionen Menschen nutzen Währungen, die an den Euro gekoppelt sind, wie die dänische Krone (DKK) und den westafrikanischen CFA-Franc (XOF). Die Volkswirtschaften der Eurozone sind sehr ... Euro to USD trading It might still be considered one of the world’s newer currencies after launching in January 1999, but the Euro has now become an integral unit on the forex trading market. As the most popular currency pair for international forex traders, Euro to USD tends to offer the lowest spreads and has shown itself to be one of the least volatile when compared to other currency ... Euro könnte noch bis zum 38-er runter. Oder den Anstieg hier schon fortsetzen. Im blauen Retracement auf Umkehr-long achten Euro is trying its move to go down, after breaking 1st support. as i use fibbonacci, it look to reach 161.8 level. watch carefully at that level, see price action for confirmation go up as pullback. Happy Trade USD/EUR für den 24-Stunden-Zeitraum bis Mittwoch, 11. November 2020 22:00 UTC @ EUR verkaufen: Sie erhalten USD: USD kaufen: Sie zahlen EUR: Kursdetails . USD/EUR für den 24-Stunden-Zeitraum bis. Mittwoch, 11. November 2020 22:00 UTC . Geld. 1 USD verkaufen . Brief. 1 USD kaufen. MIN : MW : MAX : Diese Werte stellen den Tagesdurchschnitt der Geld- und Briefkurse dar, die OANDA aus ...

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EUR/USD Technical Analysis for May 8, 2020 by FXEmpire

Oanda Senior Market Analyst Craig Erlam explains his bearish view on the EUR/USD and adds, there is still plenty room for USD to end the year on a positive note. Watch the full segment for more ... Watch Craig Erlam, Senior Market Analyst at Oanda addresses the key question - Will Trump's decision to fire FBI chief Comey have big impact on the markets? He also discusses the outlook for Brent ... 6 Forex Trading Lessons I’ve Learned After 10 Years Of Failure - Duration: 9:12. ... EUR USD chart - Trading candlestick chart - candlestick trading with SNR - Duration: 15:50. TRUSTED SPOTS ... Oanda Senior Market Analyst Craig Erlam says the EUR/USD could easily extend the rally to 1.12-1.13 levels. Erlam points to 1.36 as a strong support on the U... EUR USD in 2020 Technical Forex Analysis - Duration: ... How to trade the EUR/USD: Tips & Trading Strategies - Duration: 6:39. UKspreadbetting Recommended for you. 6:39 . Live Forex Trading 50 ... The Euro went back and forth during the trading session on Thursday, as we continue to test the bottom of the overall trading range. That being said, with th...

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